Pat Mistretta

Morris & Raper InTown

 


Below are various articles regarding Atlanta's Housing Market. 


Hotel operator buys site in Midtown


The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 10/24/07

Midtown may be getting yet another hotel, this one across the Downtown Connector from Georgia Tech.

North Point Hospitality Group of Alpharetta purchased 0.69 of an acre at the corner of 10th and Williams streets to build a Hilton Garden Inn or a Hilton Homewood Suites, according to Databank.

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The site is now a parking lot behind H.M. Patterson & Son Funeral Directors where the homeless frequently sleep.

North Point paid 10th and Williams LLC $4.6 million for the land, the equivalent of $6.6 million an acre, Databank says.

The hotel would have approximately 182 rooms, Databank says.

S. Jay Patel, North Point's president, declined to comment.

North Point operates two Hilton Garden Inns in Savannah. It also owns Hilton DoubleTree Hotels in Alpharetta and Savannah, and Hilton Hampton Inns in Alpharetta.

One-and-a-half miles south of the Midtown site, a Hilton Garden Inn with 242 rooms is under construction near the Georgia Aquarium downtown. That Hilton, part of a mixed-use project called the Park Pavilion, is owned by the Legacy Property Group. It's scheduled to open in March.

A flurry of hotels have been announced or are under construction in intown Atlanta. The brands include W, St. Regis, Mandarin, Palomar, Rosewood, 1, Monaco and Loews.

Atlanta has plenty of large hotels but needs more small and medium-size ones, Atlanta Convention & Visitors Bureau spokeswoman Lauren Jarrell said.

The new Hilton would be considered medium in size.


Streets of Buckhead project adds hotel, office/retail space


The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 09/26/07

The Streets of Buckhead project is expanding across Peachtree Road to include the site of the old Three Dollar Cafe and adjoining land.

Ben Carter Properties and Barry Hotel Partners on Tuesday announced plans to build a Hotel Monaco, a Class A office building and 55,000 square feet of retail and restaurant space on 2 acres at the Pharr Road intersection. Ben Carter said the hotel will cater to businesspeople and families and won't be exceedingly trendy or expensive.

Ben Carter Properties / Barry Hotel Partners
A Hotel Monaco, shown in this artist's rendering, is planned on 2 acres at the Peachtree Road/Pharr Road intersection.
 

Construction is expected to begin next year and wrap up in 2010.

The bulk of the Streets of Buckhead project is on the other side of Peachtree Road, where demolition has been under way for awhile. The additional land means the development has grown to nine blocks.

A few years ago, the development site was the city's No. 1 party scene. But after outbreaks of violence, the city cracked down, making arrests and forcing bars to close earlier. Businesses suffered and became ripe for purchase.

Hotel Monaco is Streets of Buckhead's second confirmed hotel. Barry Hotel also is developing 1 Hotel and Residences, which will include 48 condos. A third hotel, an "ultra-luxury" international brand with about 100 rooms and 42 condos, will be announced soon, Ben Carter said. Plans for a Paces Plaza Hotel and Residences have been scrapped.

Hotel Monaco is part of the San Francisco-based Kimpton Hotels & Restaurants. Ben Carter is under contract to buy the additional land for the project from Brad Bradshaw and plans to sell the hotel portion to Barry. Carter said acquisition and development of the additional acreage will cost roughly $250 million. Investment in the entire Streets of Buckhead development is expected to top $1 billion.

That includes construction of about 350 luxury apartments by Wood Partners.

Streets of Buckhead plans also call for 80 high-end retailers. A new one was announced Tuesday — Loro Piana, which sells clothing and accessories.


Luxury hotel will rise near Colony Square


The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 09/13/07

The 12th & Midtown developers wanted a hotel brand new to Atlanta, and Loews Hotels was looking for an Atlanta location.

Voila.

12th & Midtown
A rendering of the Loews Hotel and the commercial tower in phase two of the 12th & Midtown project.
 

The New York-based luxury chain will open a hotel at 12th & Midtown, the $2 billion redevelopment project near Colony Square.

"In more than two years of market research with our guests, Atlanta was consistently among the places where our customers would most like to see a Loews Hotel," Loews CEO Jonathan Tisch said.

Loews settled on 12th & Midtown because of its "easy elegance" and its proximity to Buckhead and downtown, Tisch said.

12th & Midtown is being built in four phases. The second phase includes the new hotel, which will have 414 rooms topped by 60 condos in a 35-story, steel and glass tower. Another tower in the second phase, 38 stories, will contain office space. Both buildings will be linked by retail.

Loews' projected opening is April 2010. The company currently has 18 hotels in the U.S. and Canada.

Phase one of 12th & Midtown, called 1010 Midtown, has been under construction for awhile. That 35-story building will have 443 residences, possibly three restaurants, upscale shops and a Bank of America branch. Homes at 1010 will be available in the fall of 2008.

12th & Midtown's four blocks are key parts of the Midtown Mile effort, which seeks to transform the Peachtree Street corridor from North Avenue to 15th Street into a stylish destination akin to Michigan Avenue in Chicago.

"We envision the Midtown Mile becoming a vibrant urban shopping destination, and luxury hotels are an essential part of that plan," said Susan Mendheim, president of the Midtown Alliance.

12th & Midtown's plan is to put large retail along Peachtree and boutiques on side streets, according to Steve Baile, senior vice president with the Daniel Corp. of Birmingham, Ala., the lead developer.

Half a mile south of 12th & Midtown, the Novare Group is building large retail space into its 36-story Viewpoint condo building on Peachtree. Viewpoint is slated to open next year.

Daniel's development partners in 12th & Midtown are Selig Enterprises, MetLife and the Canyon-Johnson Urban Funds, which includes former NBA star Magic Johnson.


Atlanta reverses its population stagnation
City has become a growth magnet

By MARY LOU PICKEL, STEVE VISSER
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 08/10/07

 

Lucile Lansing became part of the Atlanta surge five weeks ago when she moved from Sacramento to a condo in Atlantic Station.

For the second straight year, more people have moved into Atlanta than moved out, making the city one of the hottest areas in a booming metro region. Buckhead and Midtown are sprouting condo towers and enclaves from West End to Kirkwood have seen massive gentrification. 

The city grew by another 12,600 people in the 12-month period ending in April, the largest single increase in 30 years, according to the Atlanta Regional Commission.

The metro area's 10 counties are booming, too, surpassing the 4 million population mark, according to the estimates released by the ARC on Thursday.

Atlantic Station, a former steel mill site, is the textbook example of the trend in Atlanta. It supports condos, homes and retail shopping from groceries to furniture along with bars and a movie theater.

Lansing chose Atlantic Station over Duluth, where her grandchildren live, because of the convenience, the diversity and public transit.

"It takes me everywhere I want to go, from IKEA to the symphony," the 65-year-old woman said. "This is an up-and-coming city within a city."

More and more people in the metro region are moving into Atlanta because they're tired of commuting to work and for entertainment and cultural events, said Steve Corver, commissioner of Atlanta's department of planning and community development.

"They're looking for communities where you can literally walk to anything you want —- the park, the museum, the grocery store, Georgia Tech," Cover said. "Younger people, young couples, empty nesters, that's the trend that we're seeing."

Henry County's growth rate remained the eighth-fastest in the country, as it has been since 2000, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Henry added 8,800 people.

Fulton County added the most people in the last year —-33,400—- fueled by Atlanta's growth. Gwinnett was No. 2, adding 20,600 residents.

But growth is slower than in the 1990s, when Gwinnett added more than 23,000 people annually.

"We needed to catch our breath and these numbers show we have done so," said Gwinnett County Commissioner Lorraine Green. "It's a natural slowing of the growth process. We're taking a much more pro-active approach to saving greenspace and planning for the future."

Many of Atlanta's new residents are moving into new housing. The city issued 10,779 housing building permits in 2006 —-more than any of the 10 counties. Gwinnett came in second at 8,956, according to ARC numbers.

Much of the new intown housing is condominiums, an alternative to life in the suburbs, said Sonya Moste, director of marketing and public relations for the Atlanta Development Authority, the city's economic development arm.

"Look at Atlantic Station. You can just look at the cranes," she said. "In the past, people had to move to the suburbs because there wasn't enough housing, and affordable housing in Atlanta."

The city's boom struck the ARC's number crunchers, said Mike Alexander, chief of the ARC's research division.

"We thought, 'Oh my God! The city of Atlanta is doing something!' "

In the 1970s and 1980s, Atlanta lost population as people gravitated toward the suburbs. The city population stayed flat in the 1990s.

That trend started to turn around after 2000. The ARC noted a significant trend during its measurement period last year —- from April 2005 to April 2006, when the city gained 9.500 people, according to ARC estimates. It topped that feat this year, suggesting the city's turnaround was on solid footing, with the gain of 12,600.

"That's a monumental change," Alexander said.

The construction activity is all over, not just Midtown and Buckhead, but also older neighborhoods that were once stagnant, like Reynoldstown, Cabbagetown and sections of East Atlanta, he said.

Moste, the marketing director for the Atlanta Development Authority, summed it up as a burgeoning population means a burgeoning economy.

"It's the population that creates the vitality and the vibrancy of a city," she said. "You want people on the street."

AJC reporter Juanita Cousins contributed to this article.


 

More companies setting up shop in downtown tower

By KEVIN DUFFY
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 08/10/07

 

In a boost for downtown Atlanta, eight new leases have been signed since early summer at 191 Peachtree, the skyscraper that only two years ago was about 75 percent empty.

The new tenants will bring another 350 workers downtown, according to Cousins Properties, which bought the building in 2006. The uptick in downtown construction and pedestrian activity, comparatively cheap rents, proximity to MARTA, and Cousins' reputation were cited as reasons for the recent moves.  

The architectural firm Cooper Carry, which has been in Buckhead for 25 years, is shifting 250 people to the 50-story tower, designed by famed architect Philip Johnson.

Kevin Cantley, Cooper Carry's president and CEO, said the change fits with the company's focus on smart growth and designing memorable urban places.

"Moving downtown kind of reflects that commitment," he said.

Another big signee is the law firm Ogletree, Deakins, Nash, Smoak & Stewart, which will move about 150 employees from Midtown.

The new leases — two are expansions of existing leases at 191 Peachtree — mean the 1.2 million-square-foot building is 78 percent leased and 55 percent occupied.

Wachovia bank moved to Atlantic Station but still is leasing 11 floors at 191 Peachtree, some of which is sublet. Wachovia's lease expires next year.

Totaling 214,000 square feet, the most recent leases seem to fulfill a promise Cousins CEO Tom Bell made a year ago when he said "we plan to use our relationships and economic power to improve the situation downtown."

Bell made that statement when Cousins announced it was buying 191 Peachtree and moving its headquarters from Cobb County to downtown.

Since then, Cousins has leased 362,000 square feet at 191 Peachtree. Earlier this week it was announced that Il Mulino, a highly regarded Italian restaurant based in New York, will open in the building.

Bell, chairman of Central Atlanta Progress, said on Thursday he's confident 191 Peachtree will be fully leased by 2009. Prospective tenants are showing interest in another 350,000 square feet, he said.

Bell said relocations by Cousins and the American Cancer Society have created momentum downtown, as have the opening of the Georgia Aquarium and the World of Coke at Centennial Olympic Park.

Mayor Shirley Franklin's strong reputation in the business community adds to downtown's allure, Bell said.

A.J. Robinson, president of Central Atlanta Progress, said Cooper Carry's move from Buckhead was particularly noteworthy. Buckhead traditionally has had a more vigorous office market.

"When downtown becomes attractive to Buckhead tenants, it's saying were competing with the entire marketplace," Robinson said.

Downtown's Class A office vacancy rate was 29.6 percent at the end of the second quarter, easily the highest in Atlanta, according to Dorsey Market Analysis Group.

All that empty space at 191 Peachtree is one reason for the high number. But another reason is the construction of new office space downtown, according to Dorsey's Richard Poland.


Related, Cousins join up for $130 million Buckhead development


The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 08/08/07

Miami-based developer The Related Group has cemented its position as a major player in the urban rejuvenation of Atlanta by announcing a multimillion-dollar partnership with local powerhouse Cousins in two key projects.

Cousins announced Wednesday it will become an equal partner in the $130 million development of the first tower in CityPlace at Buckhead. Related acquired the 16-acre site on Roxboro Road near Lenox Square in 2006 and received zoning approval from the city last year after more than a year of negotiations with neighborhood groups for the site design.

CityPlace ultimately will contain nine high-rise towers with 3,860 residential units, 28 townhouses, 110,000 square feet of retail space and an undetailed portion of office space.

Lee Hodges, vice president for Related's Atlanta division, said the two companies, which have already partnered on two successful Miami projects, have been in talks since early this year.

"When we came to Atlanta, we were looking to partner with a local developer who was familiar with the market, with the contractors and subcontractors and the market in general," said Hodges, who grew up in nearby Madison, Ga. "By combining the strengths of the two companies, we would become a real development force here in Atlanta."

As part of the deal, Related will also become an equal partner in the second and third residential towers planned for Terminus, Cousins' most recent project on Peachtree Street at Piedmont Road in Buckhead. The first tower at Terminus is already under construction.

Sales at CityPlace will open at the end of this year, with prices expected to hover around $400 per square foot.


Condos, hotel planned for prime Buckhead spot

By KEVIN DUFFY
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 08/02/07

 

Condos and a stylish boutique hotel will be built in the center of Buckhead where partiers used to whoop it up into the wee hours of the morning.

Barry Hotel Partners and Starwood Capital Group Global LLC on Friday will jointly announce plans to develop 1 Hotel & Residences, a brand that's new to Atlanta. 

1 Hotel will be a two-tower structure with a spa in the middle. One tower will have 175 hotel rooms topped by 48 condos; the other tower will house 50 condos.

1 Hotel is the first announced building for The Streets of Buckhead, Ben Carter Properties' grand plan for transforming eight acres of Buckhead Village into one of the South's glitziest mixed-use districts.

Carter spent $210 million for 22 properties right smack in the middle of the vaunted party area, where bumper-to-bumper cruising used to be commonplace.

1 Hotel is the brainchild of Barry Sternlicht, who founded Starwood Hotels and now heads Starwood Capital Group Global LLC. Sternlicht came up with the hip W Hotel concept and the more mainstream Westin Heavenly Bed.

Construction on the first 1 Hotel began last month in Seattle.

1 Hotel will front Peachtree Road at Pharr Road, across from the Three Dollar Cafe; beneath it will be retail space and parking. Construction is expected to begin next summer and continue into 2010.

"It's one of those can't-miss locations," said Butch Ross, executive director of Barry Hotel Partners. "We're going to be sitting on 'Rodeo Drive' in the heart of Buckhead."

Barry also is developing Allen Plaza, a nine-block area downtown. Carter developed the Mall of Georgia in Buford and is shepherding The Streets of Buckhead's retail development.

The Streets of Buckhead eventually will have hundreds of condos and hotel rooms, plus office and retail space, according to Carter's plans.

1 Hotel is the first project Barry Hotel Partners has handled from the start. The division of Barry Real Estate Cos. was formed earlier this year, after Barry's W Hotel project at Allen Plaza was already under way.

"It was a missing link in Barry Real Estate's business model," CEO Chris Schoen said in a press release. "Barry Real Estate can now execute any portion of a mixed-use project, including hotels."

1 Hotel will be LEED certified, meaning it will have to meet certain "green" building standards.

Ross said design plans are incomplete, but "it will be an iconic building for the Southeast." The hotel/condo building is expected to be about 18 stories high, roughly the same size as the Ernst & Young building at Allen Plaza.

 


Public art, four hotels in Buckhead project


The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 08/04/07

You know it's a big announcement when inside the white tent are chandeliers and carpet, and a world-famous artist is sitting in the second row.

Developer Ben Carter used a ceremonial groundbreaking Friday morning to reveal more details about The Streets of Buckhead, his lavish redevelopment proposal for eight blocks of Buckhead.

Carter rattled off the names —- all Euro-elegant names —- of the seven restaurants and shops that have committed to the project. Domenica Vacca ring a bell? Or Goulue?

Much more's to come if the goal of filling 500,000 square feet of retail is to be realized.

Streets also will have four hotels, Carter said, including The Paces Plaza Hotel and Residences, and Barry Sternlicht's 1 Hotel and Residences, which Barry Hotel Partners is developing.

"Ben, remind me never to play 'Monopoly' with you," Atlanta City Councilman Howard Shook said in his remarks. "He owns all the streets, and he has a hotel on every street."

Up to 1,000 residential units and office space are also planned.

Carter is spending $3 million to start an outdoor gallery at the site called "Art on the Streets." He said he hopes other developers will pick up on the idea and install more art in the city.

Carter's first acquisition was on display at the groundbreaking: "K.3," Frank Stella's 12-foot tangle of colored metal tubing that cost $1 million.

And the artist himself was on display, casually dressed in a short-sleeve plaid shirt and looking a little out of place.

"Artists give us a window to the possibility of peace and friendship and love," Atlanta Mayor Shirley Franklin said, pointing out Stella.

Afterward, Stella said K.3 was inspired by the music of Domenico Scarlatti. It represents "street life and activity, forms that move and entangle —- like life itself."

When the speeches were done, the audience headed outside to watch a heavy equipment operator bash in the roof of what used to be C.J.'s Landing.

It's hard to believe the forlorn empty buildings were party central in one of the city's most affluent areas. After outbreaks of violence, the city cracked down on the revelry, making more arrests and shortening hours. Businesses suffered and were ripe for purchase.

Carter ended up paying more than $210 million for the eight Buckhead Village blocks. Total investment in The Streets of Buckhead is projected to be about $1.2 billion.

Carter said that like Humpty Dumpty, part of Buckhead fell off a wall. But "we have put Buckhead back together again."


NEWS IN BRIEF: ATLANTA: City eyes undeveloped land near Oakland Cemetery

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 08/02/07

With new residences and shops popping up near Atlanta's historic Oakland Cemetery, the Atlanta City Council is considering buying a tract of land adjacent to the burial ground to prevent it from being developed.

The land fills a small block on the western boundary of the cemetery, which is on Memorial Drive a few blocks east of the state Capitol. Advocates want the city to buy the site before a developer buys it and builds a condo that could loom over the final resting place of some of the city's notable residents, including golf legend Bobby Jones and author Margaret Mitchell, who wrote "Gone with the Wind."

"I'm thrilled and excited by this project," said Councilwoman Carla Smith, who co-sponsored the legislation with council members Natalyn Archibong and Kwanza Hall. "This green space will be beautiful and a great gateway to the Capitol."

The neighborhoods around the cemetery are becoming some of the city's hot real estate markets. Gritty shops and factories are being retooled into residences and trendy restaurants. Atlanta approved a master plan for redeveloping the Memorial Drive corridor that envisions it evolving into a residential area, from its present industrial nature, and being linked to the Capitol with a greenway reaching across the Downtown Connector.

The purchase price of up to $1.8 million would be paid with up to $900,000 in city funds, from accounts for buying green space, and a donation of up to $900,000 from the Oakland Historic Foundation, according to the pending legislation. The foundation is a nonprofit formed in 1976 to preserve and protect the cemetery.

The site is flanked by Biggers and Oakland avenues, George Street and Martin Luther King Jr. Drive.

 


Atlanta real estate weakened, but positive signs remain

By MICHAEL KANELL
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 08/01/07

 

The residential real estate market in Atlanta has been dampened, but then it was never a house-on-fire like some of the nation's boomtowns.

Atlanta has consistently been near the top of the charts for home sales, yet not for price increases. Home values rose but did not soar simply because the supply of new homes — many aimed at first-time buyers — grew so fast.

"And because we never went up that much, we never have to come down that much," said Rajeev Dhawan, director of the Economic Forecasting Center at Georgia State University.

National prices on average are down 1.4 percent during the past year, according to an index calculated by MacroMarkets, a New Jersey-based consulting firm co-founded by economist Robert Shiller.

In contrast, Atlanta prices are up 1.7 percent during the past year — weakening but still positive.

Through the boom of the previous five years, prices in many regions had been swelling at double-digit rates. But in the year before last, the pace of increases for Atlanta had been about 5 percent, Dhawan said. "Five percent was not that great, and 2 percent is not that bad."

Still, the story is far from over.

Sales in June were about 30 percent lower in metro Atlanta than they were a year earlier and there is no evidence that demand has bottomed out. Many builders have been slow to adjust to slackening demand, continuing to build where they had already bought land and obtained permits.

The result is a buyer's market, with homes for sale representing more than 10 months worth of backlog.

Sales could be further chilled if banks tighten up on lending or if potential buyers pull back to see if prices come down. But mortgage rates have not moved up much — and in recent weeks, they've dipped slightly, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

For Georgia, a 30-year mortgage is available for 6 percent to 6.50 percent, according to Bankrate.com.

 


Atlanta among top 5 spots for seniors, AARP says


The Associated Press
Published on: 07/23/07

Atlanta is one of the top five places for seniors to live, the AARP says.

Urban renewal plans that favor mass transit, encourage walking and allow older folks to downsize while staying in their neighborhoods were cited as the AARP included Atlanta on the list along with Beacon Hill in Boston; Chandler, Ariz.; Milwaukee; and Portland.

"What they have in common is that city planners are aggressively making plans to accommodate older residents," said Steve Slon, editor of AARP The Magazine, whose September/October issue profiling the cities is coming out this week.

While each city is obviously different — from hot to freezing, from expensive and historic to inexpensive and fitness oriented — all have taken strides to becoming friendlier places to live in for those older than 50, Slon said.

In Atlanta, he said, the AARP looked at city initiatives promoting mixed-income housing as well as mixed-use living in areas such as Atlantic Station, which was once a polluted steel mill and now features upscale shopping as well as housing that's popular with students at nearby Georgia Tech.

Also cited by AARP was having cultural venues such as the High Museum of Art within walking distance of residences. An AARP couple even noted that they walk from their home to the High to volunteer.

In Boston, the AARP praised Beacon Hill Village, a network of services for older residents who pay an annual fee to get concierge-like help to arrange everything from plumbing and rides to tickets for concerts.

Chandler, a Phoenix suburb, has programs such as cab coupons, which are popular with seniors who might not drive, in addition to sunny weather and an affordable cost of living.

Milwaukee and Portland were chosen for adding walks, bike trails and mixed-income housing while revitalizing older areas.


Developers team up, build lofts south of Five Point station
Group aims to improve south central area of downtown



The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 11/27/06

Ben Silliman's neighborhood in downtown Atlanta might not be to everyone's taste, but it suits him so well that he bought a loft about three years ago.

The streets outside the loft he now shares with his wife, Heidi — in the SoMar building a few blocks from MARTA's Five Points Station — are busy with an eclectic mix of office workers, drunks and panhandlers. Inside their home, they are surrounded by the upscale trappings of young professionals and have balcony views of the state Capitol and downtown skyline.

"I wanted a loft and bought here because the price was 15 percent lower than Midtown, Buckhead and even Kirkwood," said Silliman, a graduate of Cobb County's Lassiter High School who works from home as a computer network consultant. The Sillimans soon could have lots of neighbors to help reclaim the community.

Three developers with track records of retooling blighted neighborhoods have teamed up to restore Atlanta's south central business district. They envision turning old office buildings into lofts and rental apartments, and constructing new apartment buildings and retail shops. The developers — Morsberger Group, Wood Partners and Miller Gallman Developers — have hung the name Railroad District on the area, a nod to its history as Atlanta's first business district and hotel row.

Morsberger plans to convert an old bank headquarters into 330 lofts priced at about $250,000, with occupancy in early 2008. Wood Partners plans to start late next year to build 325 units in the first phase of redeveloping the old Norfolk Southern Corp. headquarters. Miller Gallman owns about 12 acres in the southern portion of the district and plans to build residences and retail.

A.J. Robinson, president of Central Atlanta Progress, a group of business leaders, thinks the Railroad District will thrive. He called the area the last big piece of land close to downtown Atlanta still available for development.

"There were two areas of downtown that, when you looked at them in an aerial photograph, you'd wonder why they haven't taken off," Robinson said. "The rest of downtown was under constant renovation, but the two areas were sitting there waiting to be discovered."

One area, the emerging Allen Plaza, has been discovered in a big way.

The plaza, named for Atlanta civil rights era mayor Ivan Allen, is home to Southern Co.'s new headquarters. Ernst & Young's Atlanta office will open a new headquarters building next spring. And plans call for three towers of hotel rooms and condos to begin opening next summer.

Three-way collaboration

The development kicked off after Barry Real Estate Co. assembled the land and sold some to other developers, Robinson said. In contrast, the Railroad District involves three separate developers collaborating to create a neighborhood, said Bruce Gallman, of Miller Gallman Developers.

"We don't need to compete because there's enough market for everyone," said Gallman, who in the 1980s pioneered the conversion of old warehouses into lofts in nearby Castleberry Hill. "It's not like there's a finite number of 1,000 people that we're fighting for. What we have to do is plan what's going on in each block of the district so we can create an interesting place where people will want to live and spend some time."

Emory Morsberger, head of the Morsberger Group, took the lead in assembling developers and other landowners. Morsberger is the owner of the old bank building, which he purchased in 2002 to help sweeten his bid to develop City Hall East into residences and shops.

Atlanta sold him City Hall East but wouldn't take the bank building as partial payment, leaving Morsberger with a big empty building in a distressed neighborhood.

That's when he observed that the nearby Glenn Building had been converted to a trendy boutique hotel.

"We had a dinner meeting for all the stakeholders at BED restaurant in the Glenn Hotel so they could see what could be done with a dump building in a dump neighborhood in a short time frame," Morsberger said. "The Glenn Hotel is a home run and set the stage for me to show stakeholders in the Railroad District that you can turn a piece of junk into something great if you have a good plan and good partners.

"Every major stakeholder has agreed that this area is skid row, and nobody wants to continue with skid row," Morsberger said. "We still have a lot of work to do, but we have great people involved and this project is happening now."

It can't happen soon enough for Bruce Teilhaber, president of Friedman's Shoes. He's sold shoes for 50 years on Mitchell Street. He said the decline started when the bank and Norfolk Southern closed, taking with them workers who were the clients of nearby shops and restaurants.

"When I started, this was a really good business street," Teilhaber said. "It's been drunks and bums the past three years. They sleep next to the buildings and get up and pee on your car. And you'd better not leave anything in it because they'll break a window to steal it."

City taxpayers to pitch in

Atlanta plans to help pay for the rebuilding of the Railroad District. The city can provide money to developers to help pay for rebuilding sewers, streets, sidewalks and other infrastructure.

Atlanta would get the money by selling bonds in the Westside Tax Allocation District and repaying bondholders with property taxes collected on new development in the district.

"I think a lot of folks are excited that area's finally getting some buzz," said Cheryl Strickland, who coordinates tax districts for the Atlanta Development Authority, the city's development arm.

Mark Randall, a director of Wood Partners, said the key to making the Railroad District successful will be turning it into a pleasant place to walk.

That includes creating streetscapes and nice walkways. He expects the homeless will move on and Central Atlanta Progress will send in its ambassadors and street cleaners.

Randall said he's bullish on the Railroad District despite the national downturn in the housing industry.

"I don't underestimate the ability of our development community to overbuild the market," Randall said. "But the reasons people want to live in town aren't going to change."

Ryan Blain has picked the Railroad District twice as his home in Atlanta.

He's a consultant with Oracle and lived in the district before moving briefly to San Francisco. He picked the district again when he returned.

"I love it," Blain said. "It has the feel that makes you think you're in a larger city."

 

NOW YOU KNOW WHY IT PAYS TO LIVE IN THE CITY!

Plenty of Ga. counties have commutes among nation's longest


The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 08/31/06

Those long commutes you hate so much? Take heart, your endurance has made Georgia a national leader.

No other state can boast as many counties in the U.S. Census' new top 100 list for commute times.

The data, collected in the annual American Community Survey for 2005 and released this week, show 15 Georgia counties among the leaders in piling up the minutes spent going to work. Second place New York has just 12.

What's behind the long commutes times? A willingness to trade time on the road for a good deal on a home.

"We don't have natural boundaries that limit growth," said Atlanta Regional Commission Chairman Sam Olens. "You can continue to have sprawl. And let's face it, we have too much sprawl."

The average commute time for the 10 core metro counties has changed little in five years, despite efforts to build live-work-play communities and to encourage workers to use mass transit, such as the Georgia Regional Transportation Authority's Xpress bus service. In 2000, the average commute was 31.77 minutes; in 2005, it was 31.48 minutes.

The 28-county region identified by the federal government as metro Atlanta ranks fifth nationally in commute time, at an average of 31 minutes. Even drivers in the Los Angeles area, long derided as a tangle of slow-moving superhighways, moved quicker than here, barely in the top 25 with 29 minutes.

Only metro areas in New York, New Jersey and Washington have longer commutes.

Olens also chairs the Board of Commissioners in Cobb County, which has the 14th longest commute time in Georgia, 29.7 minutes, according to the latest numbers.

"I feel my county is being invaded by Paulding County," he said about commuters.

Paulding's commute time, 36.5 minutes, is the second-longest in Georgia and 15th longest in the nation, according to the survey.

But that's a sprint compared to the nation's purported leader, Coweta County, home to about 110,000 people 35 miles south of Atlanta. Coweta's commute time is 51.6 minutes, the survey says.

"Why would I not be surprised?" asked Greg Tarbutton, Coweta's Board of Commissioners chairman. "I work in Jonesboro — OK — so I understand. It used to take me 45 minutes. Now it's an hour and 10 minutes — on a good day."

Others, however, are skeptical about Coweta's lofty status, including Census representatives, because its commute time is so far ahead of everyone else.

Second place Richmond County, N.Y., also known as Staten Island, lags Coweta by 9.6 minutes.

"It seems hard to believe," said Census demographer Phil Salopek.

But that number doesn't seem out of whack to Henry County commuter Gregg Gallagher, who drives north through the city.

"Given that traffic in this city is horrific, especially coming from the south end on the Downtown Connector, a commute of an hour or more seems the norm," he said. "I wish my commute were 32.1 minutes."

In the 2000 Census, Coweta's commute time was 29.7 minutes.

The nature of Coweta's work force and the small sampling size — less than 2 percent of the total occupied housing units in Coweta — may have led to an exaggerated commute time.

A little more than half of Coweta's workers commute to jobs outside the county, which means survey responses can be quite varied depending on the respondents' driving distance.

"A lot of the employment from Newnan and Coweta County is going to places such as the airport area, downtown and Midtown Atlanta, Cumberland Mall," said ARC senior planner John Orr. "And they're having to deal with a lot of the most congested areas in the region with their commutes."

Long commutes point out a problem common to popular outlying counties: Job growth can't keep pace with residential growth. In 2000, Coweta had a work force of about 44,000; an estimated 23,000 held jobs outside the county.

"We don't want to be a bedroom community," said Candace LaForge, president of the Newnan-Coweta Chamber of Commerce. "Our goal as a community is to create more job opportunities so our residents have choices."

While doubt surrounds the validity of Coweta's pace-setting commute time, traveling 40 miles from downtown Newnan to downtown Atlanta during morning rush hour does take an hour.

Traffic moves at a good clip until 22 minutes into the trip near Union City in south Fulton. Vehicles entering I-85 force traffic to slow to about 40 mph.

But then the pace picks up again, until I-85 and I-75 join 34 minutes into the journey.

Traffic becomes a crawl. Then it stops. From that point to the Edgewood Avenue exit, 5 miles and 18 minutes later, traffic flow is halting.

Olens said Georgia will continue to be a national leader in commute times unless more money goes to mass transit and state growth policy changes to discourage road projects that lead to sprawl.

Georgia Tech professor Michael Meyer suggested imposing variable tolls on lanes to encourage travel during off-peak hours.

"That's not a panacea by any means," he said, "but it certainly is one way of providing halfway decent service to people who can pay the toll."

In the meantime, the ARC is encouraging mixed-use development that gives people the opportunity to walk to work and shops.

"But short of that," Olens said, "our residents have the right to live wherever they want."


As Atlanta's intown continues to flourish, it's becoming the in place to live and play


The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 08/20/06

Susan Booth thinks she can see evidence of Atlanta's changing population most nights the Alliance Theatre opens its doors.

"I want to say I'm seeing a more casual approach" to a dress code, said Booth, the theater's artistic director. "We're seeing people who decided at dessert one night it would be cool to walk over and see a show, with less of a sense of grand preparation."

ON THE RISE

Atlanta's population is higher than it has been in at least 25 years.

1970: 495,039
1980: 424,922
1990: 415,200
2000: 416,474
2006 451,600
Source: U.S. census; 2006 estimate by Atlanta Regional Commission

Booth reasons that those choosing to live in the city are taking advantage of their short commute home to go out on the town even during the week.

"They don't have to plan ahead," she said. "They can come home, decompress and decide what they want to do and go out and do it. They don't have to fight a battle with traffic and parking to get here."

Recently released figures show that the city added nearly 10,000 people last year, continuing a growth spurt that has pushed the population higher than it has been in at least 25 years. Those who follow Atlanta population trends say the newcomers are likely to be well educated, well heeled and well intentioned.

In some neighborhoods, the newcomers will be welcomed while in others their presence could be disruptive to familiar patterns.

Following a national trend, the move of affluent residents back to the core city probably will hasten just-emerging changes.

The rising population will affect Atlanta's cultural, social, business and political institutions in ways that are so fresh they just are beginning to take shape.

The changes will resonate for residents across metro Atlanta who travel to the city center for major sporting and cultural events and shopping, as well as with out-of-town visitors.

For example, Midtown could strengthen its position as the region's arts and cultural center as more boutiques and galleries open, which is expected as investors respond to the growing number of residents with disposable income.

Buckhead already is securing its stance as the high-end dining and shopping neighborhood with a construction boom of high-end condo towers. Boarded-up storefronts in eclectic neighborhoods such as East Atlanta and the region west of Atlantic Station are reopening as coffee shops and restaurants.

Ready for change

Atlanta's Beltline — a planned network of intown parks that is supposed to include mass transit — is expected to attract an array of new businesses projected to create more than 30,000 permanent jobs over the next two decades. Planners think the Beltline could spur development of nearly 5 million square feet of retail space, the equivalent of three Lenox Square malls; 7 million square feet of office space, equal to nearly seven of the 50-story 191 Peachtree Tower building in downtown Atlanta; and 1 million square feet of light manufacturing space.

Politicians are watching the city's newcomers for signs of the issues and types of candidates they'll support.

It's likely voters will gather behind candidates who present themselves as Mayor Shirley Franklin has — a person who promises to manage efficiently, said state Rep. Bob Holmes (D-Atlanta), a political scientist who has monitored Atlanta for more than 30 years.

"Shirley made the transition from [former mayors] Maynard Jackson, Andy Young and Bill Campbell as being 'our,' meaning black, mayor. Shirley was a 'nonracial' candidate who talked about making the city work," Holmes said. "I think the new residents will be looking for state lawmakers and City Council members who will be responsive and will look at governance as a partnership of the City Council, neighborhood associations, the Atlanta school board and state Legislature."

Holmes said that's what happened in the recent Democratic primary election in a House district that stretches from Midtown to south of Turner Field. Voters tossed out Doug Dean, a black representative who had served off and on since 1975, and replaced him with Margaret Kaiser, a white political newcomer from Grant Park.

Dean helped retool blighted neighborhoods around Turner Field. But Holmes said Dean lost touch with constituents. Kaiser said voters, both new residents and old-timers, told her they were ready for a change.

"This was not about me and Doug Dean or any issue of race," Kaiser said. "Voting in my election crossed every boundary — gay, straight, low income, high income, old, young, black, white, Asian. It was about them wanting a change and getting someone they felt would be accessible, proactive and accountable."

Leon Eplan, a former Atlanta planning commissioner who consults on transportation issues, said newcomers to Atlanta are probably predominantly white. They're young singles and couples without children, and empty nesters who've sold a big house in the suburbs and moved into the city for its amenities.

"The people who moved back into the city in the 1990s — where we do have [detailed] census figures — were predominantly white, middle-class people," Eplan said. "I think the next thing we'll see before the end of the decade is more black middle-class people moving into the city."

'A better place to live'

Atlanta's population has grown by about 35,000 people since 2000, according to a report this month by the Atlanta Regional Commission, the region's planning organization. Atlanta now has an estimated 451,600 residents, up from about 416,500 six years ago.

The growth seems to fit a national pattern, said Carol Coletta, president and CEO of CEOs for Cities, a national network of urban leaders who seek to speed reform of cities. Cities across the country lost residents starting in 1970, the census showed, and many began reporting trickles back starting in 2000.

"Cities are becoming much better places to live," Coletta said. "We're also seeing the development of a new and imaginative set of amenities. A great example is Millennium Park in Chicago, and your Beltline project in Atlanta has the same potential."

Begun in 1998, Millennium Park transformed a 24.5-acre tract of unsightly railroad track and parking lots into lush green space that has become a gathering spot for the region. The Beltline, by contrast, is a loop around the urban core that's expected to bring $20 billion in investments over the next 24 years.

CEOs for Cities recently released results of a survey of adults age 25 to 34. It showed a strong preference for living near the downtown of a big city. The 1,000 respondents were polled online in March by GMI, a Seattle-based company that has worked on indexes of world cities. Results were interpreted by a division of Yankelovich, a public-opinion research firm.

Atlanta ranked sixth of 20 top cities identified in the survey. The key factors for desirability include cleanliness, safe streets and neighborhoods, affordable housing and ample parks and green space.

Franklin said her city's growth is tied directly to growth of metro Atlanta.

"I don't think there's any question that as long as the region continues to grow, the city of Atlanta will continue to grow," Franklin said.

Sam Williams, president of the Metro Atlanta Chamber of Commerce, said housing lenders helped set the stage for Atlanta's population increase by breaking some long-held taboos, offering loans for intown construction and to a younger demographic.

"When you make that kind of credit available, word gets around," Williams said. "Young people are networking on e-mail with the class they graduated with and saying they just bought a place, and someone in San Francisco says, 'That's nuts, how did you find a place that's affordable?' They say they bought a two-bedroom condo in Atlanta for $250,000, and that's how young people are moving into areas that once were undervalued."

New people, new money

The newcomers are bringing a lot of money to a city that has struggled to maintain its roads, sewers, parks and schools. Property taxes support a city budget that's risen 31 percent since 2000 — from $448 million to $589 million this year.

Gone are the days when Atlanta didn't have the political will to spend money on potholes because it meant other priorities would be sacrificed.

The new arrivals have boosted the average income of city residents.

The average income per person in Atlanta in 2004 was about 28 percent higher than that of those who live outside the city in the 20-county metro region — $34,304 compared to $26,905, according to an ongoing study of census reports by urban planning professors William Lucy and David Phillips of the University of Virginia.

As recently as 1990, the per-person income in Atlanta was 10 percent below the metro area.

Neighborhood clashes

Columbus Ward isn't so sure the newcomers are a fount of milk and honey. Ward says he's seeing a rising level of strife between new and older residents in his Peoplestown neighborhood, near Turner Field.

Ward helped start Peoplestown Revitalization Corp. in 1990 to restore the neighborhood.

"We have all these middle- and upper-income residents moving in and trying to organize different neighborhood groups and not wanting to work hand-in-hand with traditional neighborhood groups," Ward said. "You find a lot of them walk the neighborhood with their dogs and write down

code enforcement violations against some of the elderly on fixed income who don't have the money to do regular maintenance."

This is a bittersweet moment in the history of Peoplestown, the way Ward sees it. A neighborhood once so drug- and crime-invested that few wanted to live there has turned itself into a desired address. But some folks now attracted to Peoplestown want to change the ways of people who

lived there through the hard years.

"They seem to have an attitude that they're going to start their own groups, then get the county commissioners and City Council people to appoint them to different boards, and then they can run for public office," Ward said. "It's a threat to long-term residents who are dedicated to their neighborhood and don't know if the new residents intend to stay or came in because they didn't want to deal with the traffic and will leave when they can."

Holmes, the state representative, sees the situation a little differently from Ward.

Holmes was first elected to the state House in 1974, just three years after he'd moved to

Atlanta.

"I was president of the neighborhood association and people were saying they didn't feel their legislator was really very active," Holmes said. "I ran and won. And I've had two opponents in 15 years because I do what I think is right, but more importantly I pay attention to my constituents."


Midtown's a hot spot
Condos sell at fast clip in ZIP 30308


For the Journal-Constitution
Published on: 08/24/06

Janis Johnson is part of an Atlanta trend.

The attorney for Bank of America recently moved into one of the city's hottest ZIP codes, 30308, where new housing units have been selling as fast as they can be finished.

Jessica McGowan/Special
JESSICA McGOWAN / Special The Reynolds at 565 Peachtree St. is part of the Midtown condo market. People in the real estate industry say the market in the area is being driven by buyers wanting upscale amenities in their buildings and units, plus the convenience of intown living.
 

According to the Journal-Constitution's annual housing survey, comparing sales figures from 2004 to 2005, the Midtown district of 30308 has seen a whopping 1,720 percent increase in the number of new units. A distant second was the 30305 ZIP code in Buckhead, where new housing units increased by more than 200 percent.

For Johnson, being trendy wasn't part of the equation when she moved into a 950-square-foot unit at the Reynolds on Peachtree, a new luxury condominium complex across from the Bank of America Plaza and a short walk from the Fox Theatre.

"I was looking for convenience to my office and a way to avoid downtown traffic," she explained. "I did an exhaustive search of condos and found what I wanted right across from where I work. With gas at more than $3 a gallon, it was an excellent choice."

Johnson also compared amenities and finishes and was won over by the features at the Reynolds.

"There's a great workout facility, a pool, a cabana for entertaining and a very attentive concierge staff," she said. "And my unit has hardwood floors and 9-foot ceilings. Plus I liked the security of a controlled-access building."

Buyers looking for upscale accents in their buildings and individual units are part of the bigger trend that is fueling the intown market, said David Tufts, CEO of Coldwell Banker/The Condo Store.

"Move-up buyers, especially those who have already lived in a condo, want to move up to something more sophisticated," Tufts said. "The Aqua at 10th and Peachtree is a great example of that."

Aging baby boomers also play a part in the demand for bigger units and more sophisticated finishes, such as gourmet appliances, granite counters to oversized floor plans.

"That age group is a huge influence in the market right now, which is why we're seeing products that are much more diverse, much larger and more highly finished coming online," Tufts said.

Two other factors are making Midtown and Buckhead big housing destinations, Tufts said.

"The first is the national trend we're seeing of a return to urban living," he said. "With infrastructure getting better in Midtown, it's really taking off there. Things like the expansion of the High, restaurants and the arrival of Publix are making life there better."

Traffic also continues to be a key factor in many buyers' decisions.

"My favorite pun is that traffic is driving the market," said Tufts. "While there are no plans to alleviate traffic and our population continues to increase, why would people want to commute?"

Most of those move-up and baby boomers are looking for condos that afford a maintenance-free lifestyle without yards and house repairs. And condos are still more affordable than single-family homes intown.

"You can still find two-bedroom, two-bath condos with 1,400 or 1,500 square feet for around $200,000," said Todd Emerson, broker of the Harry Norman Realtors Buckhead office. "There's almost nothing available in a single-family home for $300,000 or below. And we're seeing more buyers, especially empty nesters, who want 3,000 square feet so they don't have to sacrifice the space they had in their former homes and can still have that grand piano in the living room."


Trump plans Midtown towers
'I'm coming to town,' celeb developer says


The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 08/04/06

The Donald is coming to Atlanta.

Celebrity New York developer Donald Trump is teaming up with Wood Partners and Dezer Properties to develop two high-rise condo towers in Midtown Atlanta.

Artist sketch of proposed Trump Towers Atlanta.
 

 

The two towers - one 30 stories and the other 40 stories - are the first for Trump in Atlanta. The plans were announced Friday after months of speculation.

"I'm coming to town and we're going to build one of the great developments in Atlanta," Trump said in a telephone interview.

The project will be called Trump Towers Atlanta and will be located on 2.5 acres the intersection of 15th and West Peachtree streets in Midtown, across the street from the Arts Center MARTA station near the Woodruff Arts Center.

Construction is expected to begin early next year with the first phase to be completed by early 2009.

Trump said the $300 million project will be an architectural landmark that will reflect the quality of the Trump brand.

"It's a great location in a great city. I've loved Atlanta for years," Trump said. Atlanta "hasn't been recognized for its architecture the way Chicago and New York has. We're going to change that."

Trump Towers Atlanta will be expensive, though Trump and his team have yet to set a price point. The towers will feature units with 10-foot ceilings, boutique retailers and restaurants.

Trump will form a joint venture with Marietta-based condo developer Wood Partners. Wood bought the site in March for $21 million.

Wood Partners has built several local residential projects, often partnering with Atlanta-based developer Novare Group. Wood also took the condo tower concept to the metro suburbs last year with a 19-story project on Windy Ridge Parkway in Cobb County.

Miami-based Dezer Development is also a partner in the project. Dezer and Trump have worked together on other condo projects, including the Trump Grande hotel and condo complex on Sunny Isles Beach near Miami.

The Trump site is near a number of high-profile projects, including the Atlanta Symphony Orchestra's proposed hall and 1180 Peachtree, the new mirrored skyscraper at Peachtree and 14th streets. The towers would be just across I-85/75 from Atlantic Station.

Trump and his son, Donald Trump Jr., picked the site because of its proximity to Atlanta's artistic center.

"We are in the heart of the cultural center," said Donald Trump Jr. We're going to give Atlantans "quality like they've never seen before."

Trump, New York's largest developer, has been moving aggressively into Southern markets in recent months.

He announced in August the Trump International Hotel & Tower New Orleans, a high-rise project next to the French Quarter. He unveiled plans for a 52-story condo tower in downtown Tampa in January.

Trump, a pop culture icon since the 1980s, started his Trump Organization in 1974 and has hotel and condo projects across the country, including Las Vegas and Chicago.

His reality show, "The Apprentice," in which Trump chooses a new employee from a cast of competing candidates, started in 2004.

 

One Atlantic Center sold to Texas firm


The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 07/13/06

Texas-sized developer Hines is making a major play into Atlanta's hottest neighborhood by lassoing a local icon, Midtown's One Atlantic Center.

Houston-based Hines will pay about $305 million for the 1987 skyscraper nicknamed the IBM tower, after its first tenant.

This follows Hines' May acknowledgment of its plans to build a 40-story condo tower with 275 units and a 200-room upscale hotel on what's now a parking lot at Peachtree and Seventh Streets.

That project, coupled with the One Atlantic Center deal, represents Hines' latest expansion into the fast-changing Midtown district, an area the large corporate developer sees as the metro area's Chicago-style urban center.

"There's a reorganization trend in Atlanta and across the country" that's moving many consumers back into city centers, which makes districts like Midtown a smart investment, said Kurt Hartman, vice president at Hines.

College graduates want a lifestyle far from their suburban childhoods, and their parents want to make the most of their lives after their kids leave home, Hartman said.

"Midtown is the only piece in the city that's laid out ... with grids and blocks that makes it a true urban environment," he said.

Hines' deals are the latest large-scale investments in Midtown, which has enjoyed a decade-long renaissance with new residents and development. Land prices in the district have nearly doubled in the last three years, said John Robbins, a Hines project manager.

Last week Cousins Properties announced it would build a 30-story tower at its new Fox Plaza development at Peachtree and North Avenue.

Pioneering developer Jim Borders is building a number of high-rise condo towers near Peachtree Street. Hines' new condo project would sit between two of them.

Selig Enterprises and Alabama developer Daniel Corp. are building a 36-story, 440-unit tower at Peachtree and 12th streets.

And there's more new development coming, said Scott Selig, vice president of Selig Enterprises.

'Midtown is young'

Though many projects have gone up, "Midtown is young," Selig said. "You can look around and see vacant land and parking lots and one-story buildings. There is so much room for growth — even up and down Peachtree Street."

Hines is not new to the neighborhood. The company opened the district's latest office tower, 1180 Peachtree, on 14th Street in March. Hines now is dangling 1180 Peachtree, home to law firm King & Spalding, in front of potential buyers.

The market for office skyscrapers has been scalding hot since 2003. Many Atlanta trophies have been put up for sale or changed hands, including the city's tallest building, Cousins Properties' Bank of America Plaza, which is seeking a buyer.

The 50-story One Atlantic Center, home to Alston & Bird and other marquee law firms, was for years the most expensive real estate in town.

In 1989, a Japanese conglomerate, Sumitomo Life Realty, bought the tower for what was then considered a very high price, $300 million — essentially what Hines will pay for the property. One Atlantic Center is about 20 percent vacant.

Cousins' Pinnacle building in Buckhead took the "most expensive real estate" title in 2004, when a pension fund paid $343 per square foot for the building. Real estate pros use the price per square foot to judge a building's value.

The Hines deal will not topple Pinnacle's record. Hines will pay roughly $277 per square foot for One Atlantic Center.

 

Could condo boom bring glut?

Developers respond to concern at Midtown meeting


The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 06/28/06

Midtown's condo construction frenzy has current residents worried about a possible market glut that would depress prices and sales among existing units.

But developers touted their plans as the creation of a grand "Midtown Mile" for Atlanta's urban core at a breakfast meeting Wednesday sponsored by the Midtown Alliance. The group made repeated comparisons between Atlanta's Midtown stretch from North Avenue to 14th Street to Chicago's Michigan Avenue.

A question from the audience prompted a six-man panel of developers to assert their faith that demand for the nearly 2,000 condos they outlined for construction in Midtown over the next four years will remain strong and owner-occupant driven.

Conor McNally, a developer with Novare Properties, said concerns of a glut are unsupported by actual market trends. Although Atlanta's condo price appreciation is hovering between 3 percent and 7 percent annually, rather than investor-driven 15 percent or 20 percent annual gains like in Miami or Las Vegas, the more modest Atlanta gains are likely to hold steady for years to come.

"Atlanta, particularly Midtown, has solid owner-driven demand," McNally said. "You have a lot of people buying who are really interested in living in the building."

The developers said they are now striving to attract an upscale shopping, dining and leisure collection of tenants for street-level amenities akin to Chicago's famed Michigan Avenue and Beverly Hills' famed Rodeo Drive.

"I do believe Atlanta can become the Chicago of the South," said Tivoli Properties CEO Scott Leventhal, developer of the luxury Aqua project on 10th Street.

Selig Enterprises Vice President Scott Selig described plans for soaring 35-foot ceilings in retail centers at his project 1010 Peachtree. Retailers will "really see how they can make an impact on Peachtree," he said.

McNally, developer of the 855 Peachtree project, detailed restoration plans for the Neel Reid building incorporated into its design.

"It's very Michigan Avenue in its conception and design and we plan to go after retail in a really new way," McNally said.

Panel moderator Catherine Ross, director of the Center for Quality Growth and Regional Development at Georgia Tech, said the brisk pace of development in Midtown reflects an overdue diversification of Atlanta's housing market.

"I still see us transitioning, catching up," Ross said. "My issue now is sustaining the momentum."

 

Condo tower planned near Fox Theatre
Cousins says 30-story high rise will blend well with neighborhood

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 06/28/06

Cousins Properties' latest Peachtree Street development will borrow the name one of Atlanta's oldest landmarks, Atlanta's 1929 Fox Theatre.

The Cobb County developer will name its new project, to be anchored by 30-story high rise on the corner of Peachtree and North Avenue, Fox Plaza after the timeless theater across Peachtree.

The condo tower at Fox Plaza, to start construction this fall and open by 2008, will have 210 homes, a strip of retail stores along Ponce de Leon Avenue and at least one space for an upscale restaurant. The condo tower itself will be known as The Premiere and will include architectural stylings borrowed from Atlanta's classic theater.

Cousins has struck a deal with the Fox Theatre to jointly market the theater and the development, said John McColl, Cousins senior vice president. Some tie-ins have yet to be worked out and McColl declined to discuss the financial terms of the relationship.

Cousins owns most of the block bordered by Peachtree, Ponce de Leon and North avenues and Juniper Street. The tract is now home to a 1959 office building, called 615 Peachtree, a parking deck and a bank branch. The company plans to implode the existing structures this fall.

Cousins does not own the 1913 Ponce de Leon Apartments building on the site, and it will remain.

The new condo tower will sit on the Ponce de Leon side of the site.

Cousins plans to turn the opposite side of the block, the high-profile corner of Peachtree and North, into a park — at least for now.

The company has dreams of an office building at that site and has marketed the property to possible tenants. It's grandest office development, the 1992 Bank America Plaza — the tallest building in the South — is just across the street.

But if the company can't lure enough tenants to build new office suites at the site, it could build a second condo building or a hotel, a spokesman said.

Cousins, a company long known for wooded office parks and big city skyscrapers, has in the past two years started building mixed-use clusters of offices, shops and condos at key corners around the metro area.

Fox Plaza is Cousins' second such project, and its most recent development to launch with a splashy branding campaign.

The company named its first local mixed-use complex Terminus, after an early moniker for Atlanta. That project is currently under construction on the corner of Peachtree and Piedmont roads in Buckhead.

Fox Plaza is also another push by Cousins into the high-rise residential market, which has seen an explosion in metro Atlanta during the past two years.

Cousins recently opened a smaller condo complex near Piedmont Park and, with a partner, is working on a residential tower in Miami. The first condo tower at Terminus, to have 150 units, is scheduled to start construction this year.

Atlanta's Fox Theatre was one of the city's finest movie houses and live entertainment venues from the 1940s to the 1960s.

A grass roots citizens campaign saved the building from being razed for an office building in 1974. It's now designated as a National Historic Landmark and included on the National Register of Historic Places.

 

Article on AOL May 21, 2006
 


Photo courtesy of the Georgia Department of Industry, Trade & Tourism

An urban jungle of skyscrapers rising from rolling hills and a canopy of old-growth trees, Greater Atlanta sprawls across a broad, 20-county, 110-municipality expanse, encompassing a busy downtown hub, thriving suburbs and rural charm.

The financial and economic center of the South and Georgia' capital city, Atlanta is a sterling example of a quality education- and research and development-driven economy that turns out a topnotch work force of bright minds, feeding a diverse mix of employers from Coca-Cola to United Parcel.

Atlanta is a staple on many "Top" and "Best" lists because of its high profile as an entrepreneurial magnet, transportation hub, domestic and foreign corporate headquarter mecca, export leader, professional sport town, travel and convention destination, and home-based business promoter.

The cradle of the U.S. Civil Rights movement and birthplace of the nation's foremost civil rights leader, Martin Luther King, Jr., Atlanta is a city of transplants and tradition with a little something for everyone.

The median single-family detached home price was $170,200 at the beginning of 2006 in the Greater Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA area and condos stood at $151,500, but home prices vary dramatically throughout the expansive region.

For example, exclusive executive mansions in Buckhead easily crack the seven-figure barrier but starter-home condos and bungalows begin in the low $100,000's. Similar ranges exist for larger three- and four-bedroom homes in new subdivisions more than an hour from Atlanta proper.

Rentals vary as well from $650 or $700 for a modest, two-bedroom, one-bath home to more than $2,000 for a similar home with an added bath in the right neighborhood with a view.

From this urban kaleidoscope, we chose four neighborhoods that illustrate what the New South offers. Our picks include close-knit Decatur; Gwinnett county's historic Duluth; the city's cultural hub, Midtown, and one of the older yet newly-revived neighborhoods, East Atlanta Village.


Article from AJC on 5/19/06:

Hotel-condo-retail project in Midtown to target 'move-up' buyers


The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Published on: 05/19/06

Metro Atlanta's maturing condo market has spawned another Midtown "move-up" development on Peachtree Street.

Hines, a Houston-based developer, has teamed up with local real estate moguls George Rohrig and Robin Loudermilk for a hotel-condo-retail complex on the southeastern corner of Peachtree and Seventh streets.

Hines Vice President Kurt Hartman said designs are being drawn for a boutique hotel on the 60,000-square-foot site with a 40-story condo tower next to it. The two buildings would be joined at the base and include up to 20,000 square feet of street-level retail space.

The project seeks to attract an older, more affluent buyer than the young adults targeted by many of Midtown's surrounding condo projects. Prices have yet to be determined for the 300 units, which will average about 1,500 square feet.

Records show Rohrig and Loudermilk purchased the site at Seventh and Peachtree in 1998 for $2.3 million. Hartman said construction costs have not yet been determined, "but it will be a lot. I'll tell you that."

Sales and construction of the project will begin next year, Hartman said, with occupancy slated for 2008.

The Hines project will join two other condo towers being developed on the next block by Midtown trailblazer Jim Borders through his Novare Group.

And it will enter a growing list of condo projects aimed at move-up buyers and empty nesters who want urban ambience and sophisticated conveniences without giving up floor space.

Novare recently announced its plans for a move-up project on 17th Street at Atlantic Station.

Tivoli Properties is poised to open sales on its upscale project, Aqua, at 10th and West Peachtree streets.

Wood Partners is in talks with the Trump organization for this type of development at 16th and West Peachtree streets behind the Woodruff Arts Center.

And the Related Group of Miami is negotiating with neighborhood leaders in the Lenox area of Buckhead for a massive development of upscale residential towers.

Alan Wexler, president of Databank, a real estate tracking firm, said initial sales in the planned Midtown condo developments probably will be brisk because of the excitement so much construction generates.

"You can have several high-rises in an area, and people will buy because it's in an area of activity," Wexler said.

But clouds on the economic horizon — mergers, bankruptcies and layoffs, among them — could cause some delays in current construction plans.

"We are in the cusp of a possible economic correction," Wexler said. "My question is: How long would it affect projects like this? No one can say for sure."


Castleberry Hill attracts restaurants, retail

Atlanta Business Chronicle - May 12, 2006

In an industrial area just south of downtown, surrounded by a Baptist mission, railroad tracks and two self-storage companies, two businessmen are determined to create a new restaurant compound to lure tourists and furniture buyers.

The area, called Castleberry Hill, has been on the rebound for almost a decade. About a dozen art galleries regularly host gallery walks that attract good crowds.

But Castleberry Hill has yet to lure the kind of lasting retail and restaurant scene that built the boutique-lined streets of neighborhoods like Virginia-Highland and East Atlanta.

By July, however, the hill -- which is one of the highest points in the city of Atlanta -- will have a new, 300-seat Mexican restaurant, No Más Cantina; a neighboring sushi bar, Wasabi; and an adjacent furniture showroom, the No Más Hacienda.

The store will showcase handmade Equipale resort-style chairs, tables, light fixtures and other crafts from more than 300 Mexican artisans.

The unique twist on the Cantina is that everything -- from the heavy tables, burly chairs, detailed bar, and massive, carved doors -- will be for sale.

"You can actually buy the furniture you're sitting on as you dine," said co-owner Steve MacNeil. "We hope to move a lot of the furniture."

Melody Voirin, 30, a veteran of the Casa Grande Mexican food chain, will manage the restaurant, which will have everything from tacos and enchiladas starting at $7.95 to a chili-seasoned rib-eye steak for $23.95.

The concept is the brainchild of MacNeil, 43, and his business partner Walt Bilinski, 44.

The former corporate professionals have lived in Castleberry Hill since 1998, when they bought the old Aristocrat Ice Cream Co. building, renovated it into lofts and are now selling individual condo units. The sale of the units is financing the $1 million transformation of an old warehouse into the restaurant/retail compound.

The duo is familiar with urban pioneering: They were among the first retailers on Huff Road in the Howell Mill area, now a sought-after residential and retail district. They've had a No Más showroom there since 1996.

Inn sold near High

In March, Atlanta's Songy Partners Ltd. sold The Residence Inn by Marriott at 1365 Peachtree St. in Midtown for $28 million to Santa Monica, Calif.-based Windsor Capital Group Inc., making it one of the highest "per key" sales of an extended-stay service hotel in Atlanta.

The circa 1962 building was purchased by Songy in 2000 for $8.2 million, according to Fulton County tax records. Songy then spent more than $10 million making the former Social Security Administration building into a 160-room, loft-style hotel.

The inn is near the Midtown arts district, the High Museum of Art and EarthLink Inc.'s Atlanta headquarters.

David Songy said it was his company's first hospitality project, but now he owns two more Atlanta hotels -- the Wyndham Vinings on Paces Ferry Road and the Dallas Market Center Hilton Garden Inn.

Income for the Residence Inn had stabilized and the timing for selling hotels is good, thanks to an abundance of capital in the market, he said.

Each hotel room has a full kitchen, but parking for guests is $19 per day.

New Plaza eats

Daniel Corp. and Selig Enterprises Inc. have announced three new restaurants will be joining The Plaza Midtown, the condo/retail development at 950 West Peachtree St. Or, residents can buy their meals at the new Publix store, which was scheduled to open May 11.

J. Christopher's, known for its brunch, will open a restaurant at The Plaza Midtown in the fall, bringing to almost a dozen the number of Atlanta locations.

A Japanese and Indo-Chine restaurant based in Dallas, called Steel, will make its Atlanta debut at The Plaza Midtown in 2007.

And, DRESSED, Salads With Style will open by this fall, offering a fast-casual salad concept from owner Justin Smolev.

Children of the '60s

No, not those flower children. The Georgia China Alliance wants American business people to understand why their Chinese counterparts may seem so different, even when they're from the same generation.

The alliance is hosting a reception called "Growing up in China in the '60s and '70s" on May 23 at 6 p.m. at the UGA Alumni Center in the Atlanta Financial Center.

The speakers will present parts of a new film that shows the life of the Chinese during that country's cultural revolution and the Great Leap Forward, with hopes the cultural seminar will ease business relationships.


Article on 10 Best Cities to Live in - Atlanta named #4

Where are the Top 10 Best Places to Live?

(May 10, 2006) --   The best cities have affordable housing, low crime, high-quality health care, and lots of cultural amenities. Taking into account these and other factors, Kiplinger Personal Finance magazine created a list of the top cities in the U.S.

Kiplinger teamed up with Bert Sperling, co-author of Cities Ranked & Rated (John Wiley & Sons Inc., 2004), to compile a database of potential home towns that meet their criteria for a great place to live. These are their top 10:

1. Nashville, Tenn.
The top pick offers affordable homes, a mild climate, and a phenomenal entertainment scene that goes far beyond country.

2. Minneapolis-St. Paul
A great sports town that is hip, progressive, and sensible in the Midwestern sense.

3. Albuquerque, N.M.
This laid-back city offers resort-town ambience, a boomtown economy, and cow-town prices.

4. Atlanta
Vibrant, beautiful, and genteel.

5. Austin, Tex.
A college town that offers a sophisticated salsa of culture, history, and politics.

6. Kansas City
This city offers everything from world-class museums to mouth-watering barbecue.

7. Asheville, N.C.
World-class cuisine, amazing crafts, live music venues and fine arts make this city tucked into the Blue Ridge mountain range one of a kind.

8. Ithaca, N.Y.
An Ivy League outpost with great food, beautiful scenery, and liberal politics.

9. Pittsburgh
Distinctive neighborhoods, tree-lined streets, glittering skyscrapers, upscale shops, and a diversified economy make this a great place to live

10. Iowa City, Iowa
This wholesome middle-American city is bursting with creative and intellectual energy.

Source: Kiplinger's Personal Finance Magazine (05/09/2006)


Midtown momentum

Record deals on 17th Street

Atlanta Business Chronicle - April 28, 2006

Atlanta developers are betting big money that a neglected stretch of Midtown is ready for a high-rise boom.

A string of record land deals in recent weeks signals that construction cranes will raise Atlanta's skyline in a corridor that runs from 14th Street north to 17th Street.

With a few exceptions, this area west of Peachtree is home to empty parking lots, abandoned buildings and low-rise office buildings.

Surrounding this no man's land are a few jewels: Woodruff Arts Center; the heavily wooded and upscale Ansley Park neighborhood; direct access to the Downtown Connector; and quick passage to Atlantic Station across the 17th Street bridge.

The first to buy into the new vision was MetLife Inc., which picked up Midtown Heights in January for $36 million, or $159 per land square foot.

The price paid for that land put every empty lot and many developed parcels in play. In April, Wood Partners LLC paid $196 per land square foot ($21.25 million) for 2.4 empty acres at 1240 West Peachtree. The land sits near the former Oakwood Apartment tower, now 1280 West condominiums.

Even along Peachtree, low-rise buildings are being snapped up at high-rise prices.

On April 21, Trizec Properties Inc. picked up 1372 Peachtree St. from Parkside Partners Inc., which held the land for less than two years.

"These prices show that they're really developer-oriented sites and there's a lot of buyers out there," said Alan Wexler, president of real estate research firm Databank Inc. "These people are eating up the properties and are paying top dollar in the market."

Developments that rise from land purchased for more than $150 per land square foot will need to be dense and tall to justify the price. The buildings will have ground-level retail and residences above. Added to that mix may be some hotel and office components.

When land prices near the $200 mark, a single use becomes practically impossible to justify.

To build a project with office space alone, developers would have to charge office tenants a monthly rate of $30 per square foot or more to recoup their costs. Office rates in Midtown average just over $22 per square foot. A combination of uses divides the cost -- and risk -- among several components and possibly among more than one developer.

With land prices rising, the development boom grows closer.

"If you pay that much for land, you're not going to sit on it, because the meter is ticking," said Steve Martin, managing director of Granite Properties Inc.

The Midtown Alliance predicts 17th Street will mirror its southern neighbor, 14th Street. Buildings will rise to average heights of 35 stories, with some reaching much higher.

"There's absolutely no doubt that this area will be a high-density, high-rise area," said Shannon Powell, with the alliance.

The primary reason that the north side of Midtown is suddenly hot property is Atlantic Station.

To get the mega-development off the ground, Atlantic Station developers worked with state and city officials to construct the 17th Street bridge, which opened in April 2004. The bridge brought easy access to both sides of the previously landlocked Connector.

The Georgia Department of Transportation will improve access to the area even further with a project that's scheduled to move forward in the fall.

G-DOT is already demolishing the former Williams Printing building to make way for an access road that will put Downtown Connector drivers heading northbound directly onto 17th Street.

A little further south, the 14th Street bridge will be raised to allow new access roads to slip under the bridge.

Although the work will bring more than two years worth of traffic headaches to existing properties, the timing is perfect for developers. Any project that kick-starts in the next six months will enjoy the benefits of the improved traffic flow without the hassle of construction problems.

The biggest benefactor of the improvements will be anyone who owns land along 17th Street.

John Whitaker, managing director of Atlantic Station developer AIG Global Real Estate Investment Corp., believes the future is bright for the corridor on both sides of the Connector.

"Seventeenth Street will become a known address and it wasn't one before," he said. "I don't know that it will ever eclipse Peachtree Street, but it will become an important business address."


Great article in Creative Loafing re redevelopment of Memorial Drive.  Article ran April 13, 2006

Memorial Drive, rising

A new zoning plan means condos on the way, some familiar haunts leaving

BY SCOTT HENRY

Published 04.12.06

The stretch of Memorial Drive just east of downtown, long a wasteland of seedy warehouses, vacant lots and unsightly auto-repair shops, has suddenly become hot. Make that blazing hot, with developers furiously snatching up old parking lots and empty industrial buildings for prices upward of $2 million an acre.

And three months from now, when Atlanta City Council is expected to rezone the Memorial-Martin Luther King Jr. Drive corridor for midrise condominiums and street-level boutiques, the area almost certainly will achieve white-hot status.

The notion that such a woebegone strip of asphalt could be the scene of a redevelopment land rush might threaten to blow the minds of longtime residents like Michael Shelton -- if he weren't already busy trying to buy chunks of it himself.

"Who'd ever have thought we'd see six-story condos on Memorial Drive?" says Shelton, who grew up in Grant Park and spent years building and restoring homes there before turning to commercial properties. Now he's developing a 37-unit loft complex near where the proposed Beltline transit loop crosses Memorial, an intersection that's home to the 5-year-old A&P Lofts and the newer Metal Works Townhomes.

Nowhere does Memorial Drive's projected transition from squalid to upscale seem more surreal than the grease-soaked parking lot of Lenny's Bar and Grill. There's been a dive bar there for about half a century, passing through several owners and name changes (most notably Dottie's, until mid-2001). Shelton says he first drank there in the late '50s, when the place was called Saba's and had a dirt floor.

Bean Summer, the band booker for Lenny's, says the nightclub was informed a few months back that the building's owners were planning to sell the property. The bar already has signed a lease on another building on nearby DeKalb Avenue, but Summer won't spill the, um, beans on the exact location because the bar's liquor license application is pending.

The new Lenny's will be about three times as large as the current location, Summer says, but he is quick to reassure that it will still have pool tables, daytime bar service where the old-timers can get a pre-lunch PBR, and a 6-inch-tall stage for the touring bands and open-mic acts that play nearly every night. The move could be as early as June.

"It's going to be good for us in many ways," says Summer, who acknowledges that the charmingly decrepit building the bar now calls home is "falling apart." Sitting at a picnic table on Lenny's back patio, he marvels at the skyrocketing land values that are displacing many of the older businesses along Memorial Drive -- and that will radically alter the area's gritty-chic landscape.

By most accounts, the flash point for the Memorial corridor was the long-awaited start of construction on Capitol Gateway, a $200 million development on part of the former site of the Capitol Homes public housing project that will include more than 900 mixed-income townhouse apartments, neighborhood retail and restaurants on 33 acres.

Now, if all goes as planned, the Memorial/MLK corridor between the Downtown Connector and Oakland Cemetery will be zoned for mixed-used six-story condo blocks along the street, with shops and cafes on the ground floor. Along the north side of MLK Drive, close to the MARTA tracks, property owners would be allowed to build residential towers up to 17 stories tall.

The plan also calls for the now-empty strip of land between Memorial and MLK to be transformed into an urban greenway stretching all the way east to the gates of the cemetery -- as soon as the Atlanta Development Authority can afford a buyout with property owners, using money generated from the Eastside Tax Allocation District approved by City Council last year.

But don't look for Daddy D'z barbecue joint to be bulldozed anytime soon. The city doesn't plan to use eminent domain to oust landowners, and the ADA has less than $3 million for land acquisition, so the process could take awhile, explains Karl Smith-Davids, the city planner overseeing zoning for the area.

Eventually, Smith-Davids says, the western end of the Memorial/MLK corridor will have a "European-type feel," similar to parts of Midtown, such as the Post Parkside apartment block next to Piedmont Park. Nearer the Beltline, projects could more closely resemble Glenwood Park, the live-work community built by MindSpring founder Charles Brewer just across I-20.

Although the zoning plan has been in the works since 2001, Smith-Davids says the demand for intown real estate has finally reached the point where the once pie-in-the-sky proposal seems like a sure bet.

"The stars have aligned, the vision is there, the community is for it and [the] city is getting constant pressure from the development community to put this plan in motion," he says.

John Reagan is a Capitol Gateway development partner who also has snatched up nearby parcels for other projects. His Urban Realty Partners has a loft complex in the works near the corner of Memorial and Boulevard, and another project, still in its infancy, that would replace the old King Station MARTA parking lot just outside the western wall of the cemetery. He's also one of the main architects of the city's zoning plan for the area.

"We're trying to keep out car-based strip retail, such as fast-food joints and stand-alone drug stores," Reagan says. "That's the urgency of the high-density zoning, to get it in place before these kinds of things can creep in."

That doesn't mean Memorial Drive will necessarily lose all its gritty charm.

Shelton, who owns the 1920s-era retail strip that includes the popular Six Feet Under restaurant, says he was planning to tear down the old hangar-like structure on nearby Oakland Avenue -- that is, until he heard from enough people interested in turning it into a quirky restaurant space.

Next door to Lenny's, Moe's & Joe's co-owner Tracy Crowley is working to open a new pub in an abandoned midcentury Gulf gas station, similar to his Universal Joint in Oakhurst. Over on MLK, the old Mattress Factory Lofts already fit in well with the plan for high-density residential.

And across the street from Ria's Bluebird Cafe, John Raulet, a broker with Raulet Property Partners, is talking to prospective tenants for his firm's new loft conversion at the southeastern corner of Memorial Drive and Cherokee Avenue.

"Everybody says we're stupid for not tearing it down," he says of the former floral distribution warehouse the company bought last year. Instead, he says, it will be converted into upscale office lofts, much like the Southern Dairies Lofts the firm owns on Glen Iris Boulevard behind City Hall East.

He's also scouting for new restaurants to install into the front of the building, which will be outfitted with a large corner patio.

"To developers, Memorial has gotten very hot; you've got downtown and the zoo and Oakland Cemetery all nearby," Raulet says. "Its rediscovery is a great thing for the area and the city."


Great article on MSN.COM-Real Estate dated April 13, 2006 stating Atlanta IS NOT part of the housing Bubble and one of the top cities of future growth:

Housing bubble: Top 30 cities to watch

The real estate market is shifting -- in what direction depends largely on where you live. Here's our forecast of the 10 cities where prices and values should continue to rise, 10 cities with little room to run and 10 that are most likely to decline.

By Pat Curry, Bankrate.com
© Peter Gridley/Getty Images

Ah, prognostication. It's a time-honored profession and one that's hard to beat in terms of job security. In what other profession can you get it wrong half the time and still be considered pretty good at what you do? If "Bob in accounting" had that kind of track record, he'd be out on the street before the second-quarter earnings were revised. But prognosticators can't possibly be faulted for not knowing what hasn't happened yet.

All of this is a fitting introduction to our forecast of the changing real estate market in the U.S. over the next few years -- 10 markets where housing prices and values will continue to remain strong (below), 10 markets where appreciation will pretty much top out and the 10 markets that are most likely to experience a decline. We talked to experts, studied public and private databases, analyzed market trends and examined the analyses of many others -- often contradictory.

The resulting lists are not intended to be numerical rankings, which would result in lists of markets located almost exclusively in California and Florida.

Nor are they intended to be be-all, end-all lists. In a recent quarterly metro-area, single-family home price report from the National Association of Realtors, a record 72 markets had annual increases in the double digits for median prices for existing, single-family homes. Only six areas had price declines out of 145 metropolitan statistical areas surveyed.

Plus, many reports we reviewed noted strong housing appreciation in the Gulf Coast areas impacted by the 2005 hurricanes. That's completely understandable. When a significant portion of the housing stock has been destroyed, the law of supply and demand dictates that the remaining houses will dramatically increase in value. We chose to leave those markets out because we felt the gains didn't reflect normal market conditions and would likely experience significant, unpredictable shifts during the next two years.

Finally, these are the markets Bankrate feels are most worth watching and are not intended to be lists on which to base your investments or take to the bank in any other sense. As Ingo Winzer, president of Local Market Monitor, a Massachusetts-based real estate analysis firm, says, "I thought that based on previous observations on price cycles, (prices) would have peaked two years ago, and they didn't. There is always some factor that comes up that you hadn't anticipated. It makes forecasting extremely difficult."

10 bubble blowers -- appreciation should continue to grow

Boise, Idaho: Besides having a happy-sounding name, Boise is consistently mentioned as a small, but strong real estate market. Forbes magazine ranked it first on its 2005 list of the best places for business and a career; John Burns Real Estate Consulting puts it almost at the bottom of its list of markets headed for a potential housing bubble.

John Schleimer, a real estate market consultant to major builders, says that both Boise and parts of the Idaho Falls panhandle will "hold up very well" housing appreciation-wise.

"They're getting a migration of people fleeing the blue states," he says. Annual housing price increases have been a modest, but steady 4% to 6% over the past couple of years, with a significant -- but not out-of-proportion -- increase of 14% in the last quarter of 2005.

El Paso, Texas: Real estate market watchers have noted for some time now that Texas is a value buy. Local Market Monitor recently released a listing of overvalued and undervalued markets. Four of its 10 undervalued markets were in the Lone Star State, with El Paso the most undervalued market in the nation (the other undervalued Texas markets were McAllen, Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston).

"If I was an investor in real estate -- and I'm not -- I'd carefully consider Texas markets," Winzer says. "They had a big boom and bust about 10 years ago. They're at the end of that. They haven't been great markets for awhile, but quite likely, as economies improve there, people will move there, especially since prices are relatively modest."

Fortune ranked El Paso third on its list of markets set for strong appreciation in the next two years; another Texas market, San Antonio, was first.

Albuquerque, N.M.: This is another city at the bottom of John Burns Real Estate's Housing Cycle Barometer, a measurement of cities that are susceptible to a housing bubble. It's also high on Fortune's list of markets that should experience growth in the next two years and had a healthy increase (18% according to the NAR) in 2005. Locals say the area attracts Californians trying to escape high housing prices; once they discover the mild year-round weather, they don't want to leave.

Seattle, Wash./Portland, Ore: The overall news out of the Pacific Northwest isn't great. The area lost jobs in the tech bust and is still recouping. But in terms of housing price appreciation, the thing these cities have going for them is a restriction in supply. Tight controls on development have prevented the normal progress of builders going farther out from the city core to find cheap land in the suburbs. Hence, demand stays high for available units. (Forbes Magazine lists Seattle as the most overpriced place to live in the country; Portland was third on the list.)

"Portland and Seattle have really benefited from California's growth," says Richard Gollis, principal of San Francisco-based real estate consultants The Concord Group. "Portland is starting to see the next generation of housing product, which is large-scale, high-density projects in downtown. The same thing is happening in Seattle. People who moved there 20 years ago for the tech market are older now and have a different lifestyle."

Salt Lake City: Nothing drives housing like a stable economy and job growth. Salt Lake City has both. Job growth is up about 4%, unemployment is low, the housing costs-to-income ratio is moderate and Utah builders give buyers a lot of house for the money. Local Market Monitor reported an 11% increase in appreciation in the market between 2004 and third-quarter 2005, and Money magazine ranked it 20th on its list of 100 markets for growth over the next two years.

Raleigh, N.C.: This city is right in the middle of the region that appeals to what real estate market consultant Schleimer calls the "halfbacks." Those are people from northern states who moved to Florida, didn't like it and then moved back, but only halfway. The halfback region includes Georgia, the Carolinas, parts of Mississippi and Tennessee. The seasons are more like what they were used to up North, without the harsh winters, and they're closer to friends and family. John Burns Housing Cycle Barometer has Raleigh dead last on its list of markets that are susceptible to a housing bubble, and the NAR shows a healthy appreciation of 7.4% between 2004 and 2005. The median house price of $185,200 is well below the national average of $213,000, giving it nice room to grow. Fortune predicts the region will do just that, by about 5% per year over the next two years.

Philadelphia: Major northeastern cities may be the least expected on a list like this, so we were somewhat surprised to see Philadelphia show up in a favorable position on several reports. The NAR quarterly report showed a 12% increase in appreciation between 2004 and 2005, high enough to encourage people to buy homes, but not at such a dizzying rate as to spark panic purchases. The housing-cost-to-income ratio, at 31%, is quite favorable compared to other large northeastern cities (53% in Washington, D.C., and Newark, N.J., and 72% in New York City) and while job growth is small, it's moving in the right direction.

Atlanta: Home to several major corporations and the country's busiest airport, Atlanta also is the second-largest housing market in the nation. Housing prices have enjoyed steady appreciation without the skyrocketing increases that have pushed other large markets toward a bubble. Commuters who have tired of long commutes have sparked resurgence in in-town development close to transit; the mixed-use development Atlantic Station has gained national attention as a true urban village with easy accessibility to jobs and cultural activities in downtown. Fortune predicts about 4% growth in values for the next two years.

Little Rock, Ark.: Surprised to see Little Rock on this list? If so, join the club. It's not exactly on a lot of radar screens as a hot real estate market. But it popped up in a favorable way on just about every ranking related to housing appreciation, from the NAR's note of a very respectable 7.7% change from 2004 to 2005 to Fortune's prediction that that kind of increase should hold fairly steady for the next two years. Local Market Monitor positions it as one of the most undervalued markets in the country. At an average price of $155,900, housing there is running a good 17% below where it could be, Winzer says, making it a great value.

Cincinnati, Ohio, and Birmingham, Ala.: These two were too close to call. The NAR's median price appreciation list gave a clear nod to Birmingham (4% increase from 2004 to 2005, to Cincinnati's 0.7%), but Cincinnati kicked its butt on the Housing Cycle Barometer that predicts a market's susceptibility to a housing bubble. (Cincinnati was 30 spots lower on the risk assessment.) Pricing in both markets is running about 12% under what the experts say it should be, giving them both plenty of room for nice, steady growth. The forecasters see that in the future for both markets.


Magic Johnson invests in Midtown

He's part of joint venture that plans two 20-story condos

By WALTER WOODS The Atlanta Journal-Constitution Published on: 09/23/04

Earvin Johnson is dribbling some of his magic into Midtown's comeback.

The smiling basketball legend is part of a joint venture investing in Plaza Midtown, a Spring Street condo tower and Publix-anchored retail complex breaking ground today.

Birmingham developer Daniel Corp. and Atlanta's Selig Enterprises plan two 20-story towers for the site, with 452 high-rise condos and 70,000 square feet of street-level retail. Plaza Midtown's shops should open next fall, the condos in early 2006.

Magic's venture is putting $12.5 million — and his star power — into the $103 million project, said Al Worthington, Daniel's president. "It's the first time for us to do business with an ex-professional basketball player," he said.

The project's site, which Daniel bought for $9 million last summer, once contained a liquor store. It is bordered by overgrown lots and the Cheetah adult nightclub.

It's an ideal spot for Johnson, who's been trying to revive parts of urban America with intown retail and quality middle-class housing, said Bobby Turner, managing partner at Canyon-Johnson Urban Fund, one of Johnson's partnerships. Condos at Plaza Midtown will sell for $180,000 to $400,000.

He's "the Donald Trump of urban revitalization," Turner joked.

"This is an exciting example of the kind of economic development that Atlanta is embracing as the future of our city," said Atlanta Mayor Shirley Franklin in a statement. "The city welcomes entrepreneurs like Magic Johnson who understand the value of investing in urban areas around the country, and especially here in Atlanta."

Johnson has backed an Atlanta movie theater and a number of Starbucks, Burger King and Washington Mutual sites, each in urban areas with few retail options. He's made similar investments in Miami, Los Angeles and other cities.

"The Plaza Midtown is a prime example of the type of urban infill development that we are trying to promote," Johnson said in a statement. "[It] will bring about even further revitalization to the already vibrant Midtown Atlanta community."

Plaza Midtown will take up a full city block in Midtown, the emerging district that follows Peachtree Street from the Fox Theatre to the Brookwood Station bridge over I-75/85.

The area has had some success trying to shake its history as a neglected section once known as a hippie hangout. A community group, Midtown Alliance, has cleaned the sidewalks, hired a private police force and lured corporations, retailers and restaurants.

In 1997, 66 percent of Midtown was vacant; today it's 35 percent, said Midtown Alliance Chief Executive Susan Mendheim, who grew up in the neighborhood.

"And there's now a major grocery store going into [Midtown's] center," she said, noting it will be the first time since the 1940s that neighborhood residents would be within walking distance of one.


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